Current Baseline Data (EIA / BLS / CBO — May 2026)
Regular Gasoline
$4.50
per gal · wk ending May 11, 2026
On-Highway Diesel
$5.64
per gal · wk ending May 11, 2026
CPI All-Items YoY
3.8%
April 2026 · BLS
Gasoline CPI YoY
28.4%
April 2026 · energy 17.9%
FY2026 NDAA
$890.6B
authorized · CBO full req $961B
Fuel Price Series
| Series | 2024 Avg | 2025 Avg | 2026 YTD Avg | Latest Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Gasoline | $3.30/gal | $3.10/gal | $3.50/gal | $4.50/gal |
| On-Highway Diesel | $3.76/gal | $3.66/gal | $4.57/gal | $5.64/gal |
National Defense Authorizations
| FY | NDAA Topline | DoD Base | DOE Natl Security | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | $883.7B | $841.4B | $32.4B | +$0.4B defense activities |
| FY2025 | $883.7B | — | — | Held flat |
| FY2026 | $890.6B | — | — | CBO full request $961B incl. $113B reconciliation |
Household Impact Calculator
6 months
28%
50 gal/mo
20 gal-equiv/mo
35%
$4,200 / mo
$600 / mo
Output
Direct monthly fuel-cost increase
—
Indirect diesel-linked cost increase
—
Total monthly shock
—
Cumulative loss over duration
—
Remaining discretionary income
—
Discretionary drawdown (%)
—
Budget Consumed by Shock
Sources: EIA U.S. gasoline and diesel retail prices (weekly, eia.gov) •
BLS Consumer Price Index April 2026 release (bls.gov) •
FY2024 NDAA conference executive summary (Senate Armed Services Committee) •
CRS FY2026 NDAA summary (everycrsreport.com) •
CBO defense and national security budget analysis (cbo.gov).
Model built for scenario analysis, not prediction. Assumptions are analyst-controlled.